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The euro itself was first envisioned towards the beginning of the 20th century. However, it wasn't fully realised until the end of the century. It first came into being as a purely digital currency, and then as physical notes and coins. This common currency for a large proportion of Europe quickly gained traction and became cemented as a market leader.

Euro trading swiftly developed into a new and exciting financial opportunity. The dollar, of course, is far older, with roots stemming back to and the creation of the United States Constitution. Since that time, the dollar has grown considerably in strength and, paired with the euro, has become something of a global standard among investors and traders. The euro rate history, however, has not always been so stellar — some blips have occurred over its short lifespan.

While it may only deliver bp of the bp tightening currently priced by the market, our team now look for a eurozone technical recession in Q4 and Q1 This will weigh on procyclical currencies like the euro, sterling, the Swedish krona and many currencies in CEE.

The EUR is hardly robust but regaining parity is a psychological boost for the currency. Gains yesterday through key trend resistance off the Feb EUR high are holding and what was resistance now becomes key support 0. Note that par 0. Watch for a test of support at 0. Remember that analysts and online forecasting sites can and do get their predictions wrong. It is always best to carry out your own research and weigh the latest market trends and news, technical and fundamental analysis, and expert opinion before making any investment decisions.

Never invest money you cannot afford to lose. Inflation has been rising across the region, while the European Central Bank ECB has been slow off the mark to raise rates. The direction of the euro could depend on whether the gap between economic growth and interest rates in the US and Europe continues to widen. The best time to trade a currency pair is when the local markets for the two currencies overlap.

This is also usually when US economic data is released. A number of analysts consider the euro to dollar rate could fall further as the economic growth divergence between the US and Europe widens. Different trading strategies will suit different investment goals with a short or long-term focus. Remember, currency pairs can be highly volatile.

You should do your own research, and never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

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Since that time, the dollar has grown considerably in strength and, paired with the euro, has become something of a global standard among investors and traders. The euro rate history, however, has not always been so stellar — some blips have occurred over its short lifespan.

Between and , the euro saw an historic record fall. This followed the fallout from the financial crisis: while US subprime mortgage crisis increased its strength, the crisis caused a recession in Europe. The institution releases the Federal Funds rate and rate statements eight times a year, which can provide insight into the state of the US economy and impact the currency. It is closely watched by traders and investors around the world.

We'll be talking about contracts for difference CFDs , specifically CFDs on forex — a popular form of derivative trading which enables investors to speculate on the rise and fall of prices across global financial markets. Sign up at Capital. While Europe could be more likely to experience a recession than the US, given its proximity to the Russian war and its dependence on Russian gas, there is also a rising possibility of a US recession.

As inflation in the US rose to a year high, the Fed quickly ended its bond-buying programme and started a rate-hiking cycle. The Fed then raised interest rates by a further 75bps in three consecutive meetings on 16 June, 27 July and 21 September, lifting the benchmark overnight borrowing rate to a range of 3.

The Fed has signalled that it will continue to hike rates to tame inflation, which it expects to come in at 8. To alter the fundamental picture, there must be a marked decline in inflation in the United States, which would lower the pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, or evidence of recession in contrast to labour market indicators. However, with CPI still rising — most recently coming in at 8.

Is there any sign of a turnaround? For reference, 0. Look out today for another soft set of PMI releases across Europe and the eurozone. While it may only deliver bp of the bp tightening currently priced by the market, our team now look for a eurozone technical recession in Q4 and Q1 This will weigh on procyclical currencies like the euro, sterling, the Swedish krona and many currencies in CEE.

The EUR is hardly robust but regaining parity is a psychological boost for the currency. Gains yesterday through key trend resistance off the Feb EUR high are holding and what was resistance now becomes key support 0. Note that par 0. Watch for a test of support at 0. Remember that analysts and online forecasting sites can and do get their predictions wrong.

It is always best to carry out your own research and weigh the latest market trends and news, technical and fundamental analysis, and expert opinion before making any investment decisions.